Greetings to you on the crypto site. My name is Viktor and today I will share my opinion about #bitcoin, #btc-usdt, using the TradingView service, here Prediction Bitcoin this week, 10-02-2025
Bitcoin Analysis: Weekly Forecast and Reflections on the “Whale” Influence (February 10, 2025)
(The author of the YouTube channel @CryptoViktor_UA informs)
Introduction
Hello to all subscribers! For those who are constantly with us, the format of this video needs no introduction. For beginners interested in a deeper understanding of the crypto market, I invite you to watch this video to determine whether my approach resonates with you.
Today, before moving on to the main forecast, I will share my thoughts on the behavior of large players, the so-called “whales”, in the market. Traditionally, we will begin the analysis with a review of my resource cryptovector.com, namely the page dedicated to Bitcoin. Here you will find the results of the previous week and the current forecast for today.
The fresh forecast for the Bitcoin rate is available not only in video format, but also in text version. Updates are published daily on weekdays, and I want to note that this format will not be permanent. Right now, Bitcoin is going through an important moment that requires close attention and detailed analysis, so I consider it necessary to provide you with daily updates.
Your activity in the polls is an important signal for me, and I am glad to see that the chosen format suits you. For ease of navigation through the channel, use the playlists, which contain forecasts by weeks and days. There are currently no forecasts for altcoins, which is due to their current “passivity” on the market.
For those who are taking their first steps in the cryptosphere, I recommend that you familiarize yourself with the playlist dedicated to graphical analysis – there you will find several informative videos. Understanding market psychology is no less important. The current situation, characterized by the “all is lost” mood, is a completely natural and predictable phase. It is at such moments that experienced investors use opportunities for profitable purchases of altcoins that have “sagged” in price. The market situation is under control, and for a deeper analysis I use a set of tools for daily forecasting, which you can also read.
Regarding the news – I suggest you familiarize yourself with current events, I will not retell them. The fear and greed index is currently fixed at 35, which corresponds to the “fear” phase. Fears about the further growth of Bitcoin are palpable, but technical indicators show a different picture: the number of Bitcoin sellers is minimal, most traders take a wait-and-see position, and a significant part of investors continues to buy the first cryptocurrency. Of course, this is reflected in relative values, but the general trend is obvious – buyers prevail.
Let’s consider the monthly dynamics in more detail. Although “detailed” is relative, because for the second month in a row I predict an increase of 60%. Perhaps, in order for Bitcoin to reach peak values in the current cycle, it will take a third month, bringing the total growth to 60-70%, as I predicted. After that, we will probably have a period of “red” months and a correction in the Bitcoin rate.
Regarding the previous forecast, a deviation of minus 8% was recorded, while currently this figure is minus 5%, which is a positive signal. One of the traders shared an interesting observation, noting the pattern: the first week of the month is often characterized by a decline, after which there is a reversal and resumption of growth. In my opinion, we are observing this very dynamic now. After the decline phase, a reversal occurs, and there is a possibility that the current week will bring February into the positive zone. Let’s see.
There is no particular need to analyze the liquidation chart at this time, as the mechanism of its action has already been discussed in detail in one of my previous videos. We regularly refer to short-term timeframes, such as the 12-hour, as well as 3-day or weekly charts to get a broader perspective on the direction of price movement. Visual analysis confirms the accumulation of significant liquidity, which indicates the potential for further growth of the rate. The price levels of 98-99 thousand are intermediate, and the further goal is to overcome the 100 thousand mark. Whether there will be a return to lower levels is currently unknown, but personally I am inclined to believe that the upward trend will continue.
The crypto risk index is currently at an attractive level of 37-35, in the “green” zone. This indicates that investments are relatively safe at the moment. Further in the video I reveal my ideas about the sequence of asset growth: first gold, then Bitcoin, and also analyze the impact of Bitcoin dominance on the market. We also turn to the Stock-to-Flow indicator – all these analytical materials are available for viewing on the website. In addition, I voice two global price targets for Bitcoin – 130 thousand and 160 thousand, justifying my assumptions. Psychological aspects of the market and current news are topics thatwhich you can explore on your own.
For deeper chart analysis, I use the TradingView service, which I consider to be the best of its kind. Many of you have already used my referral link, for which I am grateful! Those who plan to switch to the paid version, please use my link, which is a kind of thanks for my work. The link is placed in the description of each video.
So, let’s pay attention to the Gold chart. As we can see, after some consolidation, the price resumed its upward movement. This indicates a general interest of investors in making purchases, which has a clear upward vector. The situation looks quite positive. There is an opinion that after the gold growth phase is over, capital will flow into Bitcoin, stimulating its further growth. However, there is another point of view that the synchronous growth of both gold and the stock market creates a favorable environment for Bitcoin as well, as it is increasingly integrated into the global financial system. The correlation between these markets is becoming increasingly clear. A decline in the S&P 500, for example, is not always a positive signal for Bitcoin. As you can see, the United States is experiencing some economic turbulence, but the S&P 500 reflects the overall positive sentiment dynamics. This indicator, which covers the 500 leading American companies, is a valuable tool for analysis, and I recommend using it. The green zone on the S&P 500 chart indicates continued growth, which is a positive signal for Bitcoin, which is also showing a green zone and expects to move to the level of 150 thousand. We will return to this point later.
As for Bitcoin’s dominance, it has again shown significant growth, reaching a maximum of this season – 64%. There is currently a slight decline, but, as I noted, it is desirable that this indicator remains at the achieved levels for some time. When we see the “red arrow” down, it will be a favorable period for altcoins. At the moment, in my opinion, it is still too early to talk about the alt season, since Bitcoin has not yet reached its peak price values. Of course, this is only my subjective opinion, and the exact development of events is unknown.
Analyzing the USDT chart, I expect the formation of a distinct “red candle”, but for now it remains “green”. This indicates that a significant part of the capital is still held in stablecoins. A full-fledged overflow of USDT into cryptocurrencies has not yet occurred. Investors are probably waiting for a certain catalyst. Perhaps the situation will develop by analogy with the previous cycle, when the growth phase was preceded by a significant decrease. It is certainly difficult to predict. It is important to understand the relationship between all these indicators, which is the subject of our attention.
The total capitalization of the crypto market this month so far demonstrates “red” dynamics. After a significant increase to 3.3 trillion, there is some consolidation. However, I remain optimistic about the further growth of the total capitalization of cryptocurrencies.
Visualizing the current market situation using the appropriate indicator, it becomes clear why the analysis of altcoins at this stage is premature. They are in the lower zone, and only after the reversal phase will there be an object for detailed consideration. I recommend watching my video about trailing – this is a useful tool for those who seek to profitably sell altcoins or take advantage of the opportunity for a more profitable purchase. In this video, I dealt in detail with the trailing mechanism, and the feedback from viewers confirms its practical value.
On the monthly timeframe, I want to demonstrate two possible scenarios for the development of events for Bitcoin. In general, I am inclined to believe that the price should reach the range of 150-160 thousand. Currently, two main options are emerging: the first is a rapid growth, the second is a more gradual one. Both scenarios have their basis, and I do not see an intermediate option. If the current and next months demonstrate the maximum growth of Bitcoin to 160 thousand, then this will be followed by a rapid alt season and a gradual transition to a bear market. The second scenario assumes a longer phase of asset accumulation, similar to previous cycles. In this case, the summer period will be marked by market consolidation, and before autumn there will be a final “squeeze”, accumulating capital before the final upward impulse, which will fall on the autumn-winter period. For me, the first scenario is more likely, I estimate its probability at 70% versus 30% for the second. Of course, this is just my subjective assessment and should not be taken as financial advice. Each video on my channel begins with a disclaimer that these are solely my opinions and that each investor should conduct their own research.
Let’s recall the graphic figure “cup with a handle”, which we have repeatedly observed. We have already gone through the phase of the formation of the “handle” before, and the exit from it did not reach the 130 thousand mark, stopping at the formation of a new “handle”. Of course, the current formation is no longer a classicsic “cup with a handle”, but rather resembles the formation of a second “handle”, the exit from which may direct the price to the level of 130 thousand. I consider these two scenarios to be the most likely, as already noted above.
Turning to the daily chart, I highlighted the accumulation zones that formed earlier, noting the “hammers” of price reflection. Similar parabolic structures signaled the end of the decline phase and the beginning of an upward movement. Currently, a similar situation is observed – a parabola has formed, and, in my opinion, it is appropriate to expect the formation of a “hammer”, since the time frames of these structures are comparable. Therefore, I believe that the current correction phase is close to completion. Pay attention to the horizontal volume indicator, about which there is also a separate video on my channel. It is an important analysis tool, and is currently in the zone of maximum activity. Further, two resistance zones can be identified at the levels of 101-105 thousand, the breakthrough of which will open the way for further growth. That is why I previously announced a price target of 105-116 thousand – breaking the resistance at 105 thousand will create an impulse for the movement to 110-116 thousand. Last week, I predicted a reversal, and this week I expect the beginning of the growth phase. The weekend corridor that we analyzed, taking into account volatility, remains relevant. Bitcoin moves cyclically, and on daily charts the general trend remains upward. For a more operational forecast for the current day, refer to the polls and my daily video updates – this is especially important now. I closely monitor market dynamics and promptly inform you about the expected exchange rate fluctuations in the European, American and Asian sessions in short video reviews, supplemented by my thoughts on the actions of the “whales”.
I want to spend a few minutes reflecting on “whales”. The analogy between whales and trading is quite apt. A “whale” in trading is not someone who simply opens his mouth and the fish swims to him. The process is much more complicated. First, the “whale” needs to stock up on air, and then dive to the depths in search of prey. These “up-down” cycles are constant in his hunting. However, the “fish” is also not passive, and its survival depends on the speed of reaction and the ability to avoid the “whale”. Similarly, in the market, “whales” are constantly improving their strategies, and the “fish” (small traders) are trying to adapt. Therefore, there is no guarantee that the “whale”, having conceived certain actions, will definitely achieve the desired result. This is a dynamic process of interaction. In trading, whales are large players with significant capital, which allows them to carry out transactions with hundreds of bitcoins, influencing the rate. They have teams of analysts with deep knowledge of technical and fundamental analysis. They are able to manipulate the market, influencing the decisions of small traders and investors. Personally, I observe manifestations of such manipulation at certain moments. Of course, I do not claim to have a comprehensive vision of the market, but some patterns are obvious. Small traders, unlike whales, operate with much more modest capital. While a whale can invest millions without feeling a significant impact on his financial condition, a small trader carefully analyzes the market and tries to understand the logic of the actions of large players. This is why we conduct analytical work.
If you found this video useful, please support it by liking it, sharing it with your friends, and helping to spread Ukrainian-language content. As you can see, my channel does not contain advertising, as its purpose is not commercial. This channel was created for you, for the community of crypto enthusiasts. Analyzing the market for myself, I share the results of my observations to help you in your own research. It is important to listen to different opinions, but to form your own financial strategy, because decisions about your investments are your responsibility. The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, which carries both significant risks and opportunities for profit. I invite you to actively participate in discussions, share your thoughts in the comments, participate in surveys, and analyze their results – this will allow you to better understand the community’s mood and collective expectations regarding the future course, price direction, and potential price levels. Join our crypto community on Discord, YouTube, and Telegram, and visit my website where you will find all the information you need.
Greetings to you on the crypto site. My name is Viktor and today I will…
Greetings to you on the crypto site. My name is Viktor and today I will…
Greetings to you on the crypto site. My name is Viktor and today I will…
Greetings to you on the crypto site. My name is Viktor and today I will…
Greetings to you on the crypto site. My name is Viktor and today I will…
Greetings to you on the crypto site. My name is Viktor and today I will…
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